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L [2803 Fairhope / Poon] — Lease & Sale Analysis

Market Rate Assessment • 1-Year Lease • Knollwood Village, Houston TX 77025
Prepared March 10, 2026 • The Property Joes Group • Keller Williams Memorial

Property Overview — 2803 Fairhope

3 / 2
Beds / Baths
1,615
Square Feet
9,586 sf
Lot (Corner)
1952
Year Built
DetailInformation
Address2803 Fairhope St, Houston, TX 77025
Zillow | MLS
NeighborhoodKnollwood Village
StyleTraditional / Ranch • 1-story • 2-car attached garage
Tax Appraisal$381,455.00 (HCAD)
Recent SaleSOLD Feb 9, 2026$502,085.00 (per HAR.com)
Previous SaleMarch 25, 2020 • $335,000.00
MLS#44585260
Recent UpgradesHVAC (2024), PVC drain plumbing, PEX water lines, new electrical panel, double-wide driveway
SchoolsLongfellow Elementary • Pershing Middle (B) • Bellaire High (A)
Links HAR.comZillow
Above-Appraisal Sale: The $502,085.00 purchase price is 32% above the HCAD tax appraisal ($381K) and 50% above the 2020 sale ($335K). This reflects the neighborhood's strong appreciation and recent upgrades (HVAC, plumbing, electrical, driveway).

Lease Analysis — 1-Year Market Rate

Recommended Lease Rate: $2,200.00 – $2,600.00 /month

For a standard 12-month unfurnished lease in good condition. Midpoint: $2,400.00/mo. Based on 12 specific rental comps within 1 mile, Zillow Rent Zestimates, and HAR market data.

Rental Comparables (12 Comps — Within 1 Mile)

Address Beds/Baths Sqft Rent/Mo $/Sqft Notes
3831 Linklea Dr
Zillow | MLS
3/2 1,700 $2,950.00 $1.74 BEST COMP Renovated 2018/19, gas cooktop, granite, stainless. 0.5 mi
2815 Fairhope St
Map
3/2 1,971 $3,600.00 $1.83 Same block • Furnished • Adjust to ~$2,600.00 unfurnished
3315 S Braeswood Blvd
Zillow | MLS
3/2 1,904 $2,400.00 $1.26 CLOSE MATCH 1-story, 1952, renovated kitchen, granite, 2 garages. 0.6 mi
3103 Fairhope St
Map | MLS
3/2 1,400 $2,200.00 $1.57 Same street • Hardwood, granite, guest quarters. 0.3 mi
9115 Kapri Ln
Map
3/2 1,900 $2,750.00 $1.45 Single family, 1958 built. 0.7 mi
9206 Bassoon Dr
Map
3/2 2,020 $2,400.00 $1.19 New tile, granite, stainless. 1954 built. 0.8 mi
3730 Elizabeth Ct
Map | MLS
3/2.5 2,145 $2,350.00 $1.10 Gated patio home, wood floors, granite. 0.7 mi
3023 Fairhope St
Zillow | MLS
3/2 1,952 $2,918.00 $1.49 Zillow Rent Zestimate • Same street
9026 Bassoon Dr
Map
3/2 1,218 $1,850.00 $1.52 FLOOR COMP Smaller, basic condition. 0.9 mi
9821 Woodwind Dr
Map | MLS
3/— 1,360 $1,895.00 $1.39 Basic condition, smaller. 0.9 mi
Knollwood 3-BR Avg $2,208.00 Apartments.com area average (range $1,398.00–$2,989.00)
Houston SFH Avg (Jan 2026) $2,214.00 HAR rental report • Down 3.3% YoY • DOM: 43–50 days

Lease Rate Calculation

MethodEstimate
Adjusted comp average (12 comps, normalized for size/condition) $2,443.00
Area median $/sqft (1,615 × $1.39/sqft) $2,245.00
Area average $/sqft (1,615 × $1.41/sqft) $2,277.00
Fairhope St premium $/sqft (1,615 × $1.49/sqft) $2,406.00
2815 Fairhope unfurnished discount ($3,600.00 − $800.00 furn. − $200.00 size) $2,600.00
Convergence estimate $2,200.00 – $2,600.00/mo • Target: $2,400.00

Pricing Strategy

StrategyPriceTimelineTrade-off
AGGRESSIVE $2,200.00/mo 1–2 weeks Below adjusted comp average, fast lease in softening market
MARKET $2,400.00/mo 3–5 weeks Aligned with comp average ($2,443.00), quality tenants
PREMIUM $2,600.00/mo 5–8 weeks Justified by new mechanicals (HVAC, plumbing, electrical), may take 50+ days
FURNISHED $3,200.00–$3,600.00/mo Variable Short-term/corporate, higher management overhead (2815 Fairhope at $3,600.00)

Annual Lease Economics (at $2,400.00/mo)

MetricAmount
Annual Gross Rent$28,800.00
Est. Annual Expenses (tax ~$8K, insurance, maintenance)~$10,000.00–$12,000.00
Net Operating Income~$16,800.00–$18,800.00
Cap Rate (on $502K purchase)3.3%–3.7%
Gross Rent Multiplier17.4 FAIR
Gross Yield5.74%
At $502K purchase / $2,400.00 rent: The cap rate of ~3.5% and GRM of 17.4 are solid for Bellaire-adjacent single-family rentals. The new mechanicals (2024 HVAC, PEX, electrical) reduce deferred maintenance risk and justify the upper range pricing. Market is softening (DOM 43–50 days), so price to move within 5 weeks.

Sale Analysis — Current Market Value

$502,085.00
Feb 2026 Purchase Price
$311.00/sf
Actual $/Sqft Paid
$299.00/sf
Best Comp $/Sqft
$270.00/sf
Area Avg $/Sqft

Sale Comparables

Address Beds/Baths Sqft Price $/Sqft Status
2803 Fairhope (Subject)
Zillow | MLS
3/2 1,615 $502,085.00 $311.00 SOLD Feb 2026
3115 Deal St
Zillow | MLS
3/2 1,588 $475,600.00 $299.00 BEST COMP Sold Jun 2025
3106 Linkwood Dr
Map | MLS
3/3 1,711 RECENTLY SOLD
77025 Median (Dec 2025) $379,500.00 $222.00 AREA MEDIAN
Knollwood/Woodside Avg ~2,341 $548,822.00 $270.00 ACTIVE AVG

Fair Market Value Estimate

MethodValue
Actual Purchase (Feb 2026)$502,085.00 ($311.00/sf)
Best comp (3115 Deal: $299.00/sf × 1,615sf)$482,885.00
Area median (77025: $222.00/sf × 1,615sf)$358,530.00
HCAD Tax Appraisal$381,455.00
Market Position Paid $311.00/sf vs $299.00/sf best comp — slight premium (4%) justified by recent upgrades

Answer for Jason Poon

1-Year Lease Market Rate: $2,200.00 – $2,600.00/month

Standard 12-mo Unfurnished$2,400.00/mo (recommended listing price, aligned with 12-comp average)
Security Deposit$2,400.00 (1 month) — Texas: no statutory limit
Pet Policy$300.00–$500.00 non-refundable + $25.00–$50.00/mo pet rent (market standard)
Target TenantTMC professionals (2 mi), Rice faculty, young families (Bellaire HS = A)
Market TimingCOMPETITIVE Easing market (-3.3% YoY), DOM 43–50 days, 33+ houses in 77025
Subject AdvantagesNew HVAC (2024), PEX plumbing, new electrical panel, corner lot (9,586 sf), 2-car garage
Glossary